Please Click LIKE at the bottom of this commentary, and share it everywhere!! By Craig Andresen – The National Patriot – Commentary
As the Islamic regime in Iran grows more desperate, knowing that they are being economically choked to death, knowing their leverage via the Strait of Hormuz is gone, and facing the reality of their dwindling military capabilities, one thing remains clear…their apocalyptic death-cult is planning for a last-ditch, blaze of barbaric savagery akin to what I described at the end of my commentary a week ago as “burning their country to the ground so they can rule over the ashes.”
I’ll get back to this shortly.
While the IRGC does indeed fear military responses should they decide to strike Israel, from both Israel and the U.S., and while they know (even though they would never admit it) that such strikes would be devastating to the regime, there is something they fear even more…the Iranian people. The IRGC understands that an all-out military operation by Israel, by the U.S. or what would most likely be a combined U.S., Israeli military campaign unlike anything ever seen can, and would destroy IRGC and regime personnel, they also know only the Iranian people can truly topple the regime and remove the 7th century, 12 Shia ideology from power.
So, what will the regime’s “burning their country to the ground so they can rule over the ashes” look like…at least in part? Near the end of our RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS broadcast last Tuesday, September 29th, at the 1:21:45 mark you will hear in that discussion Diane Sori bring up “bio-weapons.” Diane said “if they were smart, they would not shoot them at Israel…” To be clear, “smart” has nothing to do with their calculation. DESPERATION has EVERYTHING to do with it, but it goes much deeper than most people think as some believe Israel is likely to be the regime’s primary target for that final desperation hail Mohammad.
I have little doubt that Israel will be targeted, but I do NOT think Israel will be the target of Iranian bio-weapons – not because the Iranian regime is afraid of Israel, rather for a very different reason. For the past two months, since August 1st, 2026, the IRGC has been “repositioning” its armored forces to southern Iran near the border with Iraq. The regime said they were preparing for the upcoming ground invasion of Iran by U.S. forces.
What ground invasion? There’s never been a planned ground invasion by the U.S. in southern Iran and the whole world knows it.
Throughout September, as the U.S. took control of Hormuz and oil from everybody BUT Iran started flowing by ship and via pipelines, something else started happening in various places around Iran – armed citizens and small armed groups started attacking IRGC checkpoints and personnel in southeastern Iran and central Iran.
It is not the mass uprising so many still hope to see, and in the scheme of things, while IRGC fighters have been killed in small numbers, it IS the sort of thing the regime knows could well lead to bigger things. Remember, the regime is terrified of their own people, and every time even a small clash takes place, the regime claims they are being attacked by “terrorists.” At the U.N. just a couple of weeks ago, the regime’s “presidential” puppet told the world that Iran has long been the VICTIM of “terrorism,” and that Iran has never attacked anyone.
Uh-huh…right.
Just like Iran says they have never pursued nuclear weapons, and they don’t have chemical or biological weapons. News flash – the whole world knows they want a nuclear weapon, and the whole world knows they DO have chemical and bio-weapons, and here is exactly where the targeting of those bio-weapons begins to come into focus.
Throughout this current war, Iran’s regime and their proxies have been directly targeting, or in a few cases threatening to target their Arab state neighbors. Why? Because one by one those Arab state neighbors have either sided with, or bent to the will of the United States, especially where oil shipments are concerned. Some have also become regime targets due to their support of U.S. military operations from bases in those Arab states. The IRGC seems to believe that they can win friends and influence their neighbors into embracing the Islamic regime by bombing said neighbors.
News flash number 2 – apparently bombing your neighbors DOESN’T make them like you more than they like the people who are willing to protect and help them…The United States and Israel.
Remember earlier when I said “smart” has nothing whatsoever to do with Iran’s calculations but desperation has EVERYTHING to do with it? Well…in order for the Iranian regime to make their Arab neighbors turn their backs on the U.S. and Israel, the Iranian regime, out of desperation rather than intelligence, must find a way to make the region’s saviors seem like the savages.
President Trump has said many times that the war will end after the midterm elections, and sometimes he adds in an aside…”maybe before,” which has the regime spinning like a lathe. They know something’s coming but they don’t know exactly what, or when and that’s a real time problem for a regime that is rapidly running out of time, has no money with which to buy more time, and has seen the one thing that has been their all-eggs-in-one-basket point of leverage – control of shipping via the Strait of Hormuz – evaporate. While the U.S. military has essentially blinded the IRGC’s capability to see and target ships in the Strait, combined with the U.S. Treasury suffocating the regime economically, Israel has been pounding the Iranian proxies in Gaza and Lebanon and sharing intel with the Saudi military regarding the Houthis in Yemen
Right now, Iran’s strategy is to force the price of oil high enough to turn American voters against the republican party so that democrats win the midterms on an ill-advised bet that Trump will be hamstrung by liberals voting to stop the war via the War Powers Act – an Act that Trump would veto, but it is highly unlikely there would be enough votes to override such a veto. Nonetheless, that is why we’re seeing renewed threats of IRGC attacks even in the southern Hormuz corridor against not only oil shipments, but against any and all commercial shipping as well.
But that’s not the end of Iran’s strategy.
The bio-weapons threat. They have them. They will use them. But I do not believe either Israel, or the U.S. military either at sea of stationed at Arab State bases are the primary targets of those Iranian bio-weapons and here’s why – For the past week or so, the Iranian regime has been distributing gas masks, bio-weapon antidote kits and the instructions regarding how to use them to…the IRGC.
What the regime is telling the IRGC is that Israel and the U.S. are planning an invasion in southern Iran and that both the U.S. and Israel will deploy chemical and biological weapons.
Remember, an evil regime will “burn their country to the ground so they can rule over the ashes.” I believe that the IRGC will deploy their own chemical and bio-weapons on their own people (some reports indicate the regime actually used chem or bioweapons on their own people during protests earlier this year) and then try to pin the blame on the U.S. and Israel in a very misguided effort to make the U.S. and Israel appear to be the savage terrorists in the hope that the Arab States will suddenly turn away from the U.S. and Israel and re-side with Iran.
The regime will also tell the Iranian people that the great and holy IRGC beat back the “terrorist” invasion and that ONLY the IRGC can and will protect the Iranian people.
At that point, the IRGC will launch whatever they have left at Israel, and the U.S. military as a “response” in order to create as much chaos and uncertainty as possible, and I further believe that the regime will have no choice but to make this desperation hail Mohammad play BEFORE the midterm elections.
IF Iran intends to try to paint (falsely of course) The U.S. and/or Israel as the “terrorists using bio-weapons” they can’t very well attack either the U.S. or Israel WITH bio-weapons, and let’s be honest here, at most there are about 10% of the Iranian population that supports the regime and the 12 Shia ideology, but even that support is waning because they have become disillusioned by what they increasingly see as empty rhetoric and propaganda having been spewed BY the regime for the past 47 years. The overwhelming vast majority of the Iranian people want the regime gone.
That means that at least 90% of the Iranian people won’t believe the regime’s attempted propaganda, and the other 10%, already disillusioned by their own gullibility in backing the regime’s decades of empty promises aren’t going to be very happy either because the regime handed out gas masks and antidote kits ONLY to the IRGC fighters, but NOT to the people.
As to when all of this might go down, well…that’s not completely clear, but the regime is broke, they’re out of resources, nearly out of friends, they have lost their 40 plus year point of leverage, and their proxies are using their last legs to run and hide. If I had to guess…the Islamist Iranian regime will launch their last-ditch hail Mohammad desperation tactic within the next two weeks.
Whenever it happens, both the U.S. and Israel, joined by a coalition of Arab States will unload on the regime while Pahlavi loyalists, who have waited for the word from Prince Reza Pahlavi himself GET the green light and what I believe will be a quantum shift in the Middle East will be underway.
Copyright © 2026 Craig Andresen / thenationalpatriot.com all rights reserved
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For more political commentary please visit my RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS partner Diane Sori’s latest Op-Ed at The Patriot Factor, Economics + War = A Maybe Midterm Loss…Part One
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RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS…LIVE!
Tomorrow, Tuesday, October 6th from 7 to 8:30pm EST, RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS Craig Andresen and Diane Sori discuss ‘Economics + War = A Maybe Midterm Loss…Part One‘’; “Iran’s Regime – Low on Time, Out of Leverage, Long on Desperation”and important news of the day. Tune in to RIGHT SIDE PATRIOTS on https://rspradio1.com Click ‘LISTEN LIVE.’
